Brussels: Monitoring Desk – The World may have diversified challenges but the European Union is facing one at the top of the list that is another war with more destruction than the WW1 and WW2. The observers in EU emphasize on collective deterrence of Russia only way to prevent major war in Europe.
On December 14, Vladimir Putin clearly hinted that the war will continue for as long as he is in power, and the boot of a Russian soldier may as well take a step into the EU. The scale of the ongoing military reform, scheduled for the next three years, indicates that the Kremlin plots a large-scale territorial expansion, which, in Putin’s perception, should destroy the post-WW2 international order.
In this regard, the timely rearmament of the EU member states and the ultimate isolation of Russia are the most significant ways to prevent a major war in Europe, which may also turn nuclear.
After re-election in March 2024, Putin will get another “carte blanche” to pursue his war effort, exploiting the highly intimidated Russian population, targeted by powerful propaganda influence, as expendables in the war grinder over the next six years of Putin’s rule.
The fact that more and more European officials are raising the alarm, declaring that a Russian invasion of Europe is only a matter of time, only adds anxiety.
EU High Representative Josep Borrell called for increased support for Ukraine, which has been at war with Russia for almost two years as he sees no signs of Putin being willing to go for any type of compromise.
A 220,000-strong force was sufficient to advance in nine directions. Accordingly, 2 million Russian soldiers will simply flood Europe if Putin remains confident in his impunity. When Russia attacks a neighboring NATO member state, Brussels will be forced to invoke Article 5 of the Alliance’s Charter, otherwise Putin will see weakness of Western democracies and escalate further.
It is significant that German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius announced the deployment of several Bundeswehr brigades in Lithuania, including tanks and artillery. The process will be completed in 2027, which coincides with the deadline for the Russian army reform, which will likely be followed by another round of global geopolitical turbulence.
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